Friday, October 10, 2008

Springfield News-Leader: Foreclosures Affecting Local Housing Market

Thursday 's Springfield News Leader (October 9) featured an article on foreclosure rates in the local area, and the impact those foreclosures are having on the housing market and residential construction. HBA of Greater Springfield Executive Officer Matt Morrow and Greater Springfield Board of Realtors President Doug Andrews both were interviewed in the article below. 


SPRINGFIELD NEWS-LEADER

October 9, 2008

County foreclosures at all-time high
Poor economy and rising mortgage rates blamed for record numbers.

Didi Tang
News-Leader


After posting a record number of foreclosures in 2007, Greene County is expected to smash the record by a huge margin this year, displacing families and depressing home values in neighborhoods.

By the end of September, 732 Greene County homes had been foreclosed on, up more than 42 percent from the 514 foreclosures between January and September 2007.

The Urban Neighborhoods Alliance in Springfield projects the 2008 figure could reach 1,045, compared with 736 in 2007.

Those who work closely on the issue blame the poor economy and the resetting rates on adjustable rate mortgages that have pushed up monthly payments after several years of low interest rates.

"The combination of the two things cause such a big spike," said Bob Horton, executive director of Urban Neighborhoods Alliance.

"Our job market is really tight now," said Tonya Collister, housing director at Consumer Credit Counseling Services of Springfield. "The cost of everything has gone up, and it has pushed some people to the edge."

Said Tom Wyrick, professor of economics at Missouri State University: "Some of the loan terms have become more difficult with more demanding balloon payments, which occur after two or three years has passed."

However, Collister noted that Springfield has not been hit as hard as some major metro areas.

Across the country, subprime mortgages and the housing slump have triggered a financial crisis on Wall Street, putting the national economy in jeopardy.

At a more local level, foreclosures have driven families out of their homes and hurt neighborhoods and communities.

"Where did the families go after they moved out? Did they go to rental properties? Did they move in with other family members? Did they become homeless -- which I hate to see?" Collister said.

Besides dislocating families, a foreclosed home can drive down property values by 1 percent in its immediate vicinity, Horton said.

Doug Andrews, president of the Springfield Board of Realtors, said foreclosed properties sell for less, dragging down the value of nearby homes.

A recent study shows each foreclosure can diminish home values by $2,000 on average within a two-mile radius, Andrews said.

"If you have three or four foreclosures, that's a load," he said.

During the foreclosure process, which can take more than a year, homes often get neglected and fall into disrepair, Andrews said.

"Owners are moving out and no longer taking responsibility for it," Andrews said. "We're having a problem with the depressed properties themselves. How would that depression affect a neighborhood?"

The median home price in Greene, Christian and Webster counties and surrounding areas dropped nearly 5 percent, to $120,200, in the third quarter of 2008 compared with a year ago. The median price for July, August and September 2007 was $126,500.

The average home price also fell in the same period to $139,985, down from $150,632 in 2007, according to the Springfield Board of Realtors.

Matt Morrow, executive director of the Homebuilders Association of Greater Springfield, said the real estate market has been deterring new home construction.

"The problem right now is some new homes are appraised for less than what it costs to build," Morrow said.

Then there are distressed properties that are on the brink of foreclosure but sold at discounted prices, Morrow said.

Morrow estimated new home starts will decline to one-third to half the level seen in 2005 and 2006, when the building industry hit record highs.

In an effort to boost the local market, Morrow said this is a good time for first-time homeowners and those with cash to buy.

The epidemic of foreclosures has touched every corner of Springfield, Horton said.

"It's not a north-side, south-side issue," he said.

Added Andrews: "I don't think anyone is immune to everything going on. It's affecting us on all levels we can think of."

In Springfield, Consumer Credit Counseling Services has been fighting the spread of foreclosures since late 2006.

The success rate has been 94 percent, which means the agency has pulled 94 people of every 100 away from foreclosure, said Mike Cherry, president and chief executive officer of CCCS.

This year, the agency has helped more than 200 families stay at their homes, said Collister, who expects the grim task to continue for at least another year.

Federal assistance is not in sight, but state funding remains available, she said.

Lenders, who want to minimize losses, are willing to work with borrowers, Collister said.

But for homeowners who may be slipping into a mortgage crisis, the key is to act as early as possible.

"The sooner, the more options you have," Collister said.

Wednesday, October 1, 2008

KY3: What Does the National Financial Crisis Mean for Local Loans?

On Tuesday (September 30) KY3's David Catanese reported on the financial liquidity crisis nationwide and what implications are held locally. HBA member Citizens National Bank was featured in the story with expert opinion from Frank Hilton. Hilton reminds viewers that many of the liquidity issues facing the national markets are not as severe locally for a variety of reasons. To watch the news story in its entirety, click the "play" icon below, or click here.

Thursday, September 25, 2008

SBJ: HBA's Morrow Among Panelists at Annual Economic Outlook Conference

This week's edition of the Springfield Business Journal offered extensive coverage of the Springfield Business & Development Corporation's annual Economic Outlook Conference. Rebecca Ryan was the keynote speaker. Panel discussions also were featured on "sustainability and green building" and "the local real estate market." HBA Executive Officer Matt Morrow was among the panelists on the latter.

Springfield Business Journal
 

Dig in for the Battle: Springfield economy faces multiple challenges in coming year
While local business has fared better than most, labor and real estate trends lead to difficulty

Businesses face challenges on many fronts: economic difficulties, an aging work force and young professionals with new ways of choosing their jobs.

Those challenges – and how to meet them – were the focus of the fifth Economic Outlook Conference Sept. 16 at University Plaza Convention Center, presented by the Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce and Springfield Business Development Corp.

The title of the conference, “New Challenges, New Opportunities,” spoke to the difficulty, as did a panel discussion on real estate trends and the day’s keynote speaker.

A new work force

Springfield, like most other cities across the country, also faces an impending shortage of workers to replace the retiring baby boomer generation.

But Rebecca Ryan, founder and president of Next Generation Consulting, thinks Springfield is better equipped to handle the situation than many communities, due in large part to the area’s number of colleges and universities.

That was part of Ryan’s message as the conference’s keynote speaker.

“You want the city’s age graph to show that the majority of people are in their earning years,” she said. “Springfield, for the most part, has that.”

U.S. Census Bureau data in 2006 shows that nearly 40 percent of Springfield’s population is between the ages of 20 and 44, while only 15 percent is 65 or older. Clickhere for a graphical breakdown of Springfield's population.

Nationwide, Ryan said, two boomers will be retiring for every one person entering the work force in 2012, leading to a shortage of both overall workers and management experience.

That situation, combined with a fundamental shift from a goods-based economy to one built around information and knowledge, means business leaders have to find new methods of attracting and retaining young professionals.

“We know that the way young professionals choose (jobs) is just different,” Ryan said. “We’ve talked with more than 25,000 YPs, and they all say, ‘Live first, work second. Where I live is as important as where I work.’”

The key is making the community more attractive to younger workers, and while Ryan told the crowd “there are no magic bullets” to solve the problem, there are several ways to deal with it.

The most important item, she said, is to make sure young professionals have “a seat at the table” in making decisions, which also encourages diversity of ideas and backgrounds.

Another key issue for business leaders is intra-office communication. Ryan said the issue is not only between the boomers in management and the younger workers lower in the ranks; fundamental differences between Generation X and the younger Millenials complicate the issue.

Gen X, Ryan said, was heavily protected growing up – “They were raised not to trust men with puppies, people with candy,” she said – while the Millenials were given nearly everything they wanted as children.

“So when they come in to work, you have the Gen Xers who don’t trust anybody, and then you have the Millenials who love adults and cozy up to their bosses,” Ryan said. “It creates friction.”

But, she added, the one thing they have in common is that they don’t rely on a company for job security. The majority of Millenials, she added, say that the reason they took their first job was to prepare for their second job.

“They’re very diverse, and they’re very willing to leave,” she said. “If they don’t like the job proposition you have, they’ll go somewhere else or they’ll start something themselves.”

Real estate woes

Businesses face significant pressure from the economy, and few sectors have been hit as hard as real estate.

A panel of local industry experts discussed issues the sector faces. Panelists were Matt Miller of Matt Miller Co. and Blue Block Lofts; Matt Morrow, executive officer of the Home Builders Association of Greater Springfield; and Rick Quint, president of the Springfield division of Walton Construction.

Quint said the commercial construction market is being hit by economic insecurity, which makes developers more unsure about whether to proceed with projects. Another issue is the rising prices of raw materials including asphalt and metal.

“We’ve got a situation where subcontractors, in some cases, can’t guarantee prices for more than 10 days,” Quint said.

The problem on the residential side, meanwhile, is not as much about construction. Morrow said that the three factors that lead to a strong housing market – population growth, job creation and home affordability – are all good in Springfield.

The issue, he said, is the market to buy those homes.

“The credit crunch has created a definite buyer’s market – and a shortage of qualified buyers,” Morrow said.

The issue has been exacerbated in southwest Missouri by fewer people entering the market who are “house rich,” with significant money accumulated from selling homes in more expensive markets. The reason: Those people, Morrow said, can’t sell their homes in the current economy.

Downtown, according to developer Miller, is a bright spot. The downtown residential market in particular is strong; his 75 loft units are 100 percent leased.

“Springfield has been following the national trend of re-urbanization,” Miller said, pointing to the College Station theater project and Missouri State University’s downtown investment. “That trend will continue, but it will be tempered somewhat by short-term (economic) hurdles.”


Springfield Business Journal, Copyright © 2008, All Rights Reserved.

Tuesday, September 23, 2008

KY3: Mandated Residential Fire Sprinklers Impact Affordability

On tonight's (September 23, 2008) KY3 10pm News, Contact KY3's Cara Restelli reported on the International Code Council's recent move to mandate fire sprinkler systems in new homes as a part of the building code. HBA of Greater Springfield President-Elect Rusty MacLachlan outlines the impact the decision will have on the American Dream of Homeownership. Click the "play" icon below to watch the story (or click the title of this post above). For additional perspective on this issue, read HBA Executive Officer Matt Morrow's latest blog post by clicking here.